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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins complete, TJ appears sharp and has shown himself well ready for the 125lb branch. On the feet he should have an important advantage over Cejudo. The length of TJ, together with his unorthodox style, will allow him to land serious volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks are a mortal option against the front heavy karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and important top control if he is to acquire any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself as well as an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to take and on the floor he will be difficult to control for long periods. Overall the road to victory appears slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who carries good cardio and far superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The bet will be TJ Dillashaw to function as dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some defects to their match but stylistically that is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is unorthodox but probably faster with more volume. Ostovich includes a simpler style but neither fighter is very likely to land considerable damage here. The size and strength for Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the earth where the two girls have a tendency to bring the battle. Vanzant is tenacious but requires risky options and leaves a lot of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise here and her exceptional control means she’ll spend much more time on shirt or in dominant positions. Expect a back and forth fight where we get excellent value about the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is making her debut after an impressive run as the KSW champion. Matching up using Calderwood she has the benefit in most areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overwhelming for Calderwood who exceeds pace and head motion. This fight is probably to play out on the toes but on the mat it is Lipski with the far better skills. Calderwood is coming from a”blessed” submission win in a fight where she was having a lot of trouble. Over her career she has been know to struggle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and fights with heart. At 24 years old she also will be showing huge improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style that’s proven against Cowboy together with his rapid start and constant pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone against the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best path to victory is snatching a entry off his back but that is a small chance against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and fashion of Hernandez is going to be a lot for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to operate with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter as well as the drop back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch struggle in the very first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Now it is Ortiz who has proven the newest improvements in his game, now riding an impressive win streak. Benavidez is still a leading contender but does seem like he’s slightly declining in his recent appearances. As an underdog Ortiz has a few avenues to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs substantial power. Benavidez has been wobbled consistently lately conflicts indicating his durability is fading. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight as Ortiz brings a relentless grinding pace. This should be a close fight that seems to be lined too broad.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially into his later years and together with his durability evaporating his lack of head movement is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not known for his striking yet found enormous victory himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The clear issue for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns however if he doesn’t get an early entry it will be tough to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can not get it to the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a solid bet.
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